Fantasy Football Week 12 Thanksgiving Game Lineup Decisions: Starts, Sits, Sleepers, Busts, More

Thanksgiving Day Football is fast approaching and we have some excellent games on this year’s list. We’ll dive into each matchup looking for the best players to start and sit – Sleepers and Busts for all three games.

Fantasy Football is all about the matchups. While you’ve built your team with certain hopes and intentions, your weekly lineup decisions shouldn’t be dictated by the order in which you picked your players. You need to check who your players are playing against and make sure you have the right players – – and the wrong guys out.

It’s too early to be absolutely certain which matchups will be easy and which will be difficult, but we can make some educated guesses based on sane personnel, defensive schemes, track records, and key offense details. The things we know can help us minimize the impact of the things we don’t know. This should lead to better decisions being made.

We’ll go through each Thanksgiving Day game and highlight the players that aren’t obvious starts and sits (because you don’t need to be told to start Justin Jefferson). You should feel more comfortable starting or seeding players based on the information given, and feeling comfortable with your fantasy lineup before games start is the best feeling in the world.

All lines from Caesars Sportsbook.

Start him (lineup decisions)

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Dave’s notebook:

LAST WEEK: Was a reliable safety valve for Josh Allen, who chipped Cleveland’s defensive ends and turned to catch a throw when Allen was under pressure. That resulted in a target share of 28%, his highest mark of the season (previous peak: 17.6% in Week 4 vs Baltimore).

KNOX: Has at least six goals in each of his last two games. It shouldn’t go unnoticed that his power surge coupled with Josh Allen’s elbow issues and resulting ADOT was under 9.0, which he continued to have in most of his games.

LIONS: Didn’t have to defend any tight end goals last week because the Giants didn’t bother throwing at any, but in the three games before that they gave up a touchdown to a tight end in two of them. If you set a nine-point PPR bar, you should know that the Lions have allowed at least that many to a tight end in 8 out of 10 games.

Flex Starter (lineup decisions)

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Dave’s notebook:

SLAYTON: Has led all healthy Giants players into goals in each of their last four games (Wan’Dale Robinson had more goals against the Jaguars and Lions, but he’s done for the year). Slayton has posted at least 11 PPRs in each of his last four.

SLAYTON: Has seen an increase in slot snaps in his last two games, which has grown to over 45% of his total snaps in consecutive weeks. Considering Cowboys cornerback Trevon Diggs rarely starts as a nickelback, it’s a safe bet the Giants will field Slayton a couple of times there.

COWBOYS: Grant second most YAC/reception to receivers lining up in the slot (6.44). Slot boys were also responsible for 5 of the 11 total touchdowns received that Dallas conceded.

COWBOYS: Nine wide receivers have found at least 11 PPR points against each other this year, including three in their last four matchups.

Flex Starter in Non-PPR (Lineup Decisions)

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Dave’s notebook:

LAST WEEK: On an alleged snap count, Elliott managed 15 carries and caught a target. That 16 total touches came to 21 snaps, so maybe he was actually on a snap count, but it didn’t stop him from seeing a lot of work. Elliott averaged 2.8 yards per rush and was saved by two one-yard touchdown rushes.

TOUCHDOWNS: All but one of Zeke’s six touchdowns this year came from within a yard. And of his 22 rushing touchdowns since 2020, only five have been from six yards or further.

ELLIOTT: While he’s not amassing the yards per carry you want, he’s got at least 15 carries in 6 out of 8 games and a total of at least 47 yards in every game.

GIANTS: Allowed for running backs last week with only four rushing touchdowns and only one from five yards or closer. Then they faced Jamaal Williams and the Lions, and now the defense has yielded eight TDs with five from five yards or closer to RBs this season.

Put him (line-up decisions)

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Dave’s notebook:

LAST WEEK: The Cowboys’ passing rush was unstoppable, especially when Christian Darrisaw left from left tackle with a concussion. Under pressure, Cousins ​​completed 4 of 11 passes for 40 yards and was released seven times.

THIS SEASON: Cousins ​​was equally abysmal under pressure, posting a 42.3% completion rate, a -0.42 EPA/dropback, a 3.3% TD rate and a 64.4 QB rating over 155 dropbacks. The Vikings have pressured 37.7% of their dropbacks this season, the fifth-highest in football.

PATRIOTS: Are ninth in blitz rate (30.6%) and second in pass rush pressure rate (37.6%), so cousins ​​should expect some heat. It doesn’t help Cousins’ cause that the Patriots have only allowed three quarterbacks multiple passing scores all year – and two of the three had exactly 20 fantasy points.

HISTORY: Cousins ​​has seen Belichick’s defense twice in his career, and he threw at least 40 passes both times. He threw a touchdown in every game, had at least one interception in every game, and he didn’t even rush for 225 yards in every game.


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