Atlanta Falcons (5-6) at Washington Commanders (6-5), 1 p.m. Fox
Line: Commanders -4.5 | Total: 42
Taylor Heinicke has won four of his five starts for the Commanders this season, and Coach Ron Rivera officially named him the starter for the rest of the season. After upsetting the Eagles in Week 10, Heinicke and the Commanders became betting darlings: They attracted 66 percent of the bets and 76 percent of the early money that week. But even at 6-5, Washington are at the bottom of the NFC East and will have to fight their way through the rest of the schedule if they are to make the postseason.
For their part, the Falcons are a half-game behind the Buccaneers in the NFC South and need to win the division to make it into the postseason. None of these offenses were particularly impressive. The Commanders have averaged 4.5 yards per game and 165 passing yards per game in their last three games. The Falcons rely heavily on running back Cordarrelle Patterson while Kyle Pitts is out with a medial collateral ligament injury. These teams are well matched, so the points on the spread are valuable. Choice: Hawks +4.5
Chicago Bears (3-8) at Jets (6-4), 1 p.m. Fox
line: nozzles -4.5 | Total: 39.5
The Jets had 2 offensive yards — averaging 2.7 inches per play — in the second half of a heavy loss to the Patriots last week in Foxborough, Mass. Much of the blame fell on sophomore quarterback Zach Wilson, who was shot on Benched in favor of Mike White on Wednesday.
Despite their record and the fact that they can’t put pressure on opposing quarterbacks, the Bears have a far better perspective than the Jets. Justin Fields has been impressive in keeping games tight against playoff contenders despite injuring his left shoulder and being listed as a day-to-day. He’s a difference maker and backup Trevor Siemian isn’t. If Fields is out, the Jets’ defense will quickly break through the Bears’ terrible offensive line. Choice: Jets -4.5
Green Bay Packers (4-7) at Philadelphia Eagles (9-1), 8:20 p.m., NBC
Line: Eagle -7 | Total: 46.5
The Eagles’ defensive line has faltered against the run, a problem the team hoped to solve by enlisting the services of experienced tackles Linval Joseph and Ndamukong Suh ahead of Week 11. They’ll be tested against the Packers and Aaron Jones, a top-10 back who has 778 total yards and averages 5.4 yards per carry. Each week is a “must-win game” for the Packers, who must put on an impressive run to have any chance of a wildcard berth. Selection: Eagles -7