Patriots vs. Vikings: Time, Watching, Live Streaming, Major Matchups, Thanksgiving Matchup Picks

It will be the Patriots and Vikings who will wrap up our Thanksgiving triple header on Thursday night. These two clubs were on opposite sides of the scoreboard last Sunday in Week 11, but both attackers struggled and managed just one field goal each. For the Patriots, they clinched the win thanks to a last-second punt return for a touchdown over the Jets. Minnesota wasn’t so lucky, coming up against a buzzsaw that was the Cowboys defense that sacked Kirk Cousins ​​seven times. Meanwhile, the Dallas offensive exploded for 40 points. With that in mind, the Vikings will certainly look to quickly recoup that loss with a Thanksgiving home win as New England continues to push for a playoff spot in the AFC.

In terms of a side story to keep in mind, this will be Kevin O’Connell’s first game as head coach against Bill Belichick. O’Connell was drafted by Belichick and the Patriots in the third round of the 2008 NFL Draft.

Before we dive even deeper into this matchup, here’s how to watch the holiday finals.

All NFL odds via Caesars Sportsbook.

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Date: Thursday 24 Nov | Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
Location: US Bank Stadium (Minneapolis)
TV: ABC | Electricity: fuboTV (try for free)
Consequences: CBS Sports App
opportunities: Vikings -2.5, O/U 42.5

Latest Odds:

Minnesota Vikings -2.5

When the Vikings have the ball

The biggest challenge the Vikings face Thursday is keeping Kirk Cousins ​​up. The quarterback is just days away from a game against Dallas, where he has had a career-high sack of seven, hit 13 and blitzed on 40% of his dropbacks (season-high). We know he will be without left starter Christian Darrisaw, who suffered a concussion against Dallas on Sunday and has already been ruled out by O’Connell.

While the Cowboys defense is arguably the best unit in the NFL, the New England defense is also spot on in this conversation and has a knack for taking on the quarterback. The Patriots rank second in the NFL in pressure and boast Matt Judon, who currently leads the NFL in sacks with 13 players. If Cousins ​​gets the ball, he faces another challenge. The Patriots allow the lowest completion percentage (56%) in the league when they enter Week 12, and that’s thanks largely to Jack Jones and Jonathan Jones, who are among Pro Football Focuses’ top 10 cornerbacks this season .

What gave the Patriots seizures this season were mobile quarterbacks, which Cousins ​​isn’t. That said, if he’s able to extend plays just a little bit by moving around in the pocket, that might be enough for things to crash.

Where the Vikings might be able to attack this New England defense is on the spot with Dalvin Cook and Alexander Mattison. The Patriots are hardly bad against the run, but teams have had more success running than passing. They’re giving up 4.5 yards per carry entering Thanksgiving.

When the Patriots have the ball

While New England’s defense is among the best in the league, the offense is a whole different story. Mac Jones and company ranks 26th in the NFL in offensive DVOA, coming off a game against New York in which they scored just three points.

Similar to Cousins, protection has been one of the biggest issues for the Patriots. Jones has averaged 2.3 seconds to throw the football this season and is under pressure on 22.5% of his dropbacks, both in the bottom third of the league. According to the Adjusted Sack Rate, New England’s offensive line is the fourth worst in the NFL. Minnesota has 85 pressings a year and ranks in the bottom half of the league in blitz rate, but they can quickly outperform the quarterback, sixth in the NFL.

The Patriots’ bread and butter was used offensively by Rhamondre Stevenson and Damien Harris from the backfield. While both of those defenders have performed well, New England should look to build on that and use play action as an extension of their ground attack. Jones has only 29 play-action passing attempts this season (30th among all quarterbacks). However, his 8.82 yards per play-action attempt is better than Cousins ​​(6.04) and Justin Herbert (7.65), both of whom are among the most in play-action attempts and yards-off-play-action Ranking the top 5 of the NFL.

That could help New England succeed even in the red. Scoring in the red zone was also one of the Patriots’ main problems. They score touchdowns on just 42.8% of their trips to the red zone, which ranks 31st in the NFL and only above the Denver Broncos. Unless they make some changes to their approach, things could continue to get tough on the offensive side of the ball and they need to keep winning ugly.

Forecast: Vikings 24, Patriots 17


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